Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 150.804498 165.586657 180.714656 197.325875 215.024535 233.289809 253.536089
2025-01-05 126.834833 148.899291 172.546957 199.654514 229.745043 262.001734 299.071416
2025-01-12 105.623421 132.296934 162.168344 197.795574 238.820828 284.278644 338.144954
2025-01-19 89.159591 118.854021 153.518404 196.394483 247.411158 305.593731 376.364492
2025-01-26 79.957126 112.686488 152.313922 202.879549 264.716102 336.922906 426.617172
2025-02-02 71.890216 106.840853 150.634062 208.135544 280.206109 366.135591 474.844049
2025-02-09 65.473738 102.275778 149.875588 214.013539 296.179496 395.947867 524.169680
2025-02-16 59.790967 97.990345 148.909973 219.194356 311.055271 424.445985 572.239468
2025-02-23 50.783956 88.093444 139.607299 212.695607 310.392159 433.201990 595.753909
2025-03-02 44.121218 80.809071 133.170647 209.369246 313.316511 446.124395 624.311855
2025-03-09 39.497393 76.054494 129.822768 209.854305 320.993654 465.000856 660.473496
2025-03-16 35.989784 72.642432 128.077195 212.303575 331.156367 487.093958 700.938957
2025-03-23 33.874138 71.356867 129.482394 219.411997 348.093340 518.753405 754.846104
2025-03-30 31.426936 69.268477 129.506448 224.460818 362.273646 547.039932 804.899145
2025-04-06 27.961830 65.032787 125.878832 223.873249 368.407503 564.565598 841.015330
2025-04-13 24.857900 61.065679 122.348200 223.154230 374.179732 581.567901 876.585932
2025-04-20 23.660326 60.505030 124.267250 230.744074 392.033148 615.338709 935.064624
2025-04-27 22.281279 59.431022 125.220682 236.790030 407.691839 646.267295 990.079597
2025-05-04 21.119582 58.645244 126.562225 243.404751 424.238375 678.594996 1047.324008
2025-05-11 19.913583 57.626370 127.404167 249.185671 439.600449 709.437924 1102.884872
2025-05-18 16.917077 52.416289 120.501682 242.097729 435.327211 712.379173 1120.021305
2025-05-25 14.738391 48.662118 115.895178 238.469650 436.060295 722.282546 1146.744100
2025-06-01 13.307601 46.415576 113.883516 239.019285 443.132165 741.290157 1186.289961